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Professional verifying a secure login on a laptop and phone in a modern office, illustrating zero trust identity and access security

Zero trust has become the default security strategy on paper, but not yet in practice. Okta’s research puts the share of organizations with a defined zero trust initiative at 61%, up from 24% in 2021, while Gartner predicts only 10% of large enterprises will have a mature, measurable program by 2026. The numbers below show where adoption really stands, why the model matters, and what it changes when a breach happens.

  • Adoption is mainstream: 61% of organizations have a defined zero trust initiative, up from 55% in 2022 and 24% in 2021 (Okta State of Zero Trust Security).
  • Maturity lags badly: Gartner predicts only 10% of large enterprises will have a mature and measurable zero trust program by 2026, up from less than 1% in 2023.
  • Identity is the target: 68% of breaches involve a non-malicious human element and stolen credentials remain a top entry point (Verizon 2024 DBIR).
  • It lowers breach costs: organizations with a mature zero trust deployment saw breach costs about $1.76 million lower than those without (IBM Cost of a Data Breach).
  • VPNs are on the way out: Gartner expects 70% of new remote access deployments to run predominantly on ZTNA by 2025, up from under 10% at the end of 2021.
  • Not a silver bullet: Gartner warns that by 2026, more than half of cyberattacks will target areas zero trust controls do not cover.

What’s in This Report

 

 

Infographic summarizing 2026 zero trust statistics: 61% adoption, 10% mature by 2026, $1.76M lower breach cost, 68% human element, 70% ZTNA by 2025
The headline zero trust numbers for 2026, compiled by CNiC Solutions from Okta, Gartner, IBM, and Verizon data.

 

 

1Zero Trust Adoption: From Buzzword to Default

Zero trust started as a Forrester concept in 2010 and spent a decade as a slide-deck phrase. That is over. Okta’s State of Zero Trust Security research, based on a global survey of security decision-makers, found that 61% of organizations had a defined zero trust initiative in place, up from 55% the year before and just 24% in 2021. In other words, the share of organizations formally pursuing zero trust more than doubled in two years.

61%
of organizations have a defined zero trust initiative, up from 24% in 2021.Source: Okta State of Zero Trust Security
96%
of security decision-makers say zero trust is critical to their organization’s success.Source: Microsoft Zero Trust research
76%
of organizations are already in the process of implementing zero trust.Source: Microsoft Zero Trust research

Organizations With a Defined Zero Trust Initiative

2021
24%
2022
55%
2023
61%

Share of organizations reporting a defined zero trust initiative. Source: Okta State of Zero Trust Security.

The direction is not surprising once you look at what changed underneath it. Remote and hybrid work erased the office network boundary, business systems moved to the cloud, and attackers shifted from breaking through firewalls to simply logging in with stolen credentials. When the perimeter dissolves, the old model of trusting anything inside the network stops making sense. Zero trust replaces it with a simple principle: never trust, always verify, and grant the least access needed for each request.

Source: Okta State of Zero Trust Security | Microsoft Zero Trust research

Turning that checkbox into real, enforced protection across identity, devices, and data is the work behind a managed cybersecurity program.

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2The Maturity Gap: Everyone Started, Few Finished

Here is the statistic that reframes all the others. Gartner predicts that by 2026, only 10% of large enterprises will have a mature and measurable zero trust program in place, up from less than 1% in 2023. Set that against the 61% who say they have an initiative, and the picture is clear: starting zero trust is now common, but finishing it, to the point where access is genuinely least-privilege and the program can be measured, is still rare.

10%
of large enterprises will have a mature, measurable zero trust program by 2026 (Gartner prediction).Source: Gartner, January 2023
<1%
of large enterprises had a mature and measurable zero trust program in 2023, the baseline for Gartner’s forecast.Source: Gartner, January 2023
5
pillars in the CISA Zero Trust Maturity Model: identity, devices, networks, applications and workloads, and data.Source: CISA Zero Trust Maturity Model 2.0

“Mature and measurable” is not marketing language. The CISA Zero Trust Maturity Model, the reference framework many organizations use, breaks the journey into four stages across five pillars. Most companies with an initiative sit in the first stage or two, not the last.

Maturity stage What it looks like Source
Traditional Manual, static access rules and siloed security; trust is largely implicit inside the network. CISA ZTMM 2.0
Initial First automated controls and some cross-pillar integration; multi-factor authentication is being rolled out. CISA ZTMM 2.0
Advanced Coordinated, policy-driven access across pillars with centralized visibility. CISA ZTMM 2.0
Optimal Fully automated, continuously verified, least-privilege access with dynamic policy. CISA ZTMM 2.0

 

 

Infographic contrasting 61% of organizations with a zero trust initiative against only 10% projected to reach a mature program by 2026
Most organizations have a zero trust initiative (61%), but Gartner projects only 10% of large enterprises will be mature by 2026.

 

 

Myth: “Once we adopt zero trust, we are secure.” Zero trust reduces risk, it does not eliminate it. Gartner explicitly warns that by 2026, more than half of cyberattacks will be aimed at areas that zero trust controls do not address and cannot mitigate, from social engineering to vulnerabilities in third-party software. Zero trust is the foundation of a modern security program, not the whole building. Treating it as a finish line is how organizations get a false sense of safety.

Source: Gartner Zero Trust Prediction, January 2023 | CISA Zero Trust Maturity Model

Sequencing that roadmap, deciding which pillar to harden first and how to measure progress, is exactly the planning a fractional technology leader brings to a business without a full-time security executive.

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3Why Zero Trust: Identity Is the New Perimeter

Zero trust exists because of how breaches actually happen. Attackers rarely smash through a firewall anymore. They log in. Verizon’s 2024 Data Breach Investigations Report found that 68% of breaches involved a non-malicious human element, such as someone falling for a phishing email or being tricked into handing over a password, and stolen credentials have been one of the most common footholds in breaches for a decade.

68%
of breaches involved a non-malicious human element, such as a phishing victim or a stolen password.Source: Verizon 2024 DBIR
~31%
of breaches over the past decade have involved the use of stolen credentials.Source: Verizon DBIR
292 days
average time to identify and contain a breach that began with stolen or compromised credentials, the longest of any attack vector.Source: IBM Cost of a Data Breach 2024

The pattern is consistent across the major reports: identity is the target and the entry point. That is why zero trust puts identity first. Instead of trusting a user because they are on the corporate network, it verifies who they are, what device they are on, and whether the request makes sense, every time. Strong multi-factor authentication, tight control over privileged accounts, and context-aware access rules are the practical building blocks.

The identity problem Figure Source
Breaches involving a human element 68% Verizon 2024 DBIR
Breaches involving stolen credentials (decade view) ~31% Verizon DBIR
Stolen or compromised credentials as an initial attack vector Top vector IBM 2024
Time to identify and contain a credential-based breach 292 days IBM 2024
Global average cost of a data breach $4.88M IBM 2024

This is where zero trust gets concrete for a small or midsize business. You do not start by buying a platform. You start by making stolen credentials useless: enforce phishing-resistant multi-factor authentication, limit standing privileged access with privileged access management, and add rules that check device and location before granting entry through conditional access. The human-error numbers behind all of this are covered in our human error in cybersecurity statistics.

Source: Verizon 2024 Data Breach Investigations Report | IBM Cost of a Data Breach 2024

Rolling out multi-factor authentication and least-privilege access across an entire team, without breaking how people work, is day-to-day managed IT.

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4Zero Trust Pays: The Breach-Cost Impact

The business case for zero trust is not abstract. IBM’s Cost of a Data Breach research, one of the most cited security studies in the world, ties the model directly to money. Organizations with a mature zero trust deployment experienced breach costs roughly $1.76 million lower than those with no zero trust approach. In a year when the global average breach cost hit a record $4.88 million, that is a large share of the bill avoided.

$4.88M
global average cost of a data breach in 2024, a record high and up 10% year over year.Source: IBM Cost of a Data Breach 2024
$1.76M
lower breach cost for organizations with a mature zero trust deployment versus those with none.Source: IBM Cost of a Data Breach
$2.22M
average saving for organizations using security AI and automation extensively, the analytics engine behind zero trust.Source: IBM Cost of a Data Breach 2024

Two levers drive those savings. First, zero trust limits blast radius: when every request is verified and access is least-privilege, a stolen credential unlocks one narrow door instead of the whole building, so incidents are smaller and contained faster. Second, the continuous monitoring and automation that zero trust depends on are the same capabilities IBM credits with the largest cost reductions. The reductions compound.

Average Breach-Cost Reduction (US$ Millions)

Extensive security AI & automation
$2.22M
Mature zero trust deployment
$1.76M

Average reduction in data breach cost versus organizations without each capability. Source: IBM Cost of a Data Breach.

Source: IBM Cost of a Data Breach 2024

Making sure a contained incident stays contained, with tested backups you can restore from, is the recovery half of the equation.

Protect the Last Line: Backup & Recovery

5The Shift From VPN to Zero Trust Network Access

The most visible way zero trust is replacing old infrastructure is the retirement of the VPN. A traditional VPN drops a remote user onto the corporate network and largely trusts them from there, which is precisely the implicit trust zero trust is built to remove. Zero Trust Network Access (ZTNA) grants access to specific applications after verifying identity and context, never to the whole network. Gartner expects that swap to happen fast.

70%
of new remote access deployments will be served predominantly by ZTNA rather than VPN by 2025 (Gartner prediction).Source: Gartner
60%
of enterprises will phase out most of their remote access VPNs in favor of ZTNA by 2025 (Gartner prediction).Source: Gartner
<10%
ZTNA share of new remote access at the end of 2021, the starting point for Gartner’s forecast.Source: Gartner
Gartner ZTNA prediction Timeline Source
New remote access served predominantly by ZTNA, not VPN 70% by 2025 (from <10% in 2021) Gartner
Enterprises phasing out most remote access VPNs for ZTNA 60% by 2025 Gartner

For a growing business, the takeaway is not to rip out a working VPN overnight. It is to recognize that broad network access is a liability, and that new remote access, new branch connections, new third-party access, should default to per-application, verified access instead. ZTNA is one component of a wider convergence of networking and security, often delivered as secure access service edge (SASE). We cover the access model itself in our explainer on how ZTNA works.

Source: Gartner on Zero Trust Network Access

Designing that verified, segmented access so remote and branch users connect safely is core network engineering.

Modernize Remote Access and Networking

6Drivers, Barriers, and the Federal Push

Zero trust did not become the default by accident. It has a standards body behind it, a federal mandate pushing it, and a set of business realities making it unavoidable. The concept came from Forrester analyst John Kindervag in 2010, was formalized by the U.S. government in NIST Special Publication 800-207 in 2020, and became a federal requirement when the Office of Management and Budget issued its Federal Zero Trust Strategy in 2022, directing agencies to meet specific zero trust goals by the end of fiscal year 2024.

2010
the year Forrester analyst John Kindervag introduced the term “zero trust.”Source: Forrester
800-207
the NIST Special Publication that defined the zero trust architecture standard, published in 2020.Source: NIST SP 800-207
FY2024
deadline for U.S. federal agencies to meet zero trust security goals under the Federal Zero Trust Strategy.Source: OMB M-22-09, 2022

The barriers are real too, and they explain the maturity gap. Zero trust touches identity, devices, networks, applications, and data at once, which makes it a program rather than a purchase. Legacy systems resist least-privilege rules, the cybersecurity skills shortage makes execution hard, and doing it badly frustrates users enough that controls get loosened. When a mandate meets those frictions, adoption gets counted and maturity does not follow.

 

 

Infographic of the five zero trust pillars from the CISA maturity model: identity, devices, networks, applications and workloads, and data
Zero trust spans five pillars, identity, devices, networks, applications, and data, across four maturity stages (CISA Zero Trust Maturity Model).

 

 

What pushes zero trust forward What holds it back
Remote and hybrid work erasing the network perimeter Legacy systems that assume implicit network trust
Cloud and SaaS moving data outside the firewall Cybersecurity skills shortage and limited in-house staff
Credential theft as the top breach entry point Complexity of coordinating five pillars at once
Federal mandate and NIST standard (SP 800-207) User friction when controls are rolled out poorly
Lower breach costs and cyber-insurance requirements Treating zero trust as a product instead of a strategy

Myth: “Zero trust is a product you buy.” No single vendor sells “zero trust” in a box, and any that claims to is selling one pillar and calling it the whole model. Zero trust is an architecture and an operating discipline that spans identity, endpoints, network, applications, and data. The businesses that get stuck are the ones that bought a tool, checked the box, and stopped. The ones that succeed treat it as a staged program with owners, milestones, and measurement, which is why so much of the value comes from how it is run, not what is purchased.

Much of that push is now reinforced by cyber-insurance underwriters and cloud providers, who increasingly require multi-factor authentication and least-privilege access as a condition of coverage or configuration. The market pressure and the security logic point the same direction, which is why the adoption curve keeps climbing even as maturity lags.

Source: NIST Special Publication 800-207, Zero Trust Architecture | OMB Federal Zero Trust Strategy (M-22-09)

Summary Table: Every Stat at a Glance

Statistic Figure Source Year
Organizations with a defined zero trust initiative 61% Okta 2023
Same figure, prior year 55% Okta 2022
Same figure, 2021 baseline 24% Okta 2021
Decision-makers who call zero trust critical to success 96% Microsoft 2021
Organizations in the process of implementing zero trust 76% Microsoft 2021
Large enterprises with a mature, measurable program (forecast) 10% Gartner 2026
Large enterprises mature in 2023 (baseline) <1% Gartner 2023
Cyberattacks by 2026 aimed at areas zero trust can’t cover More than half Gartner 2026
Pillars in the CISA Zero Trust Maturity Model 5 CISA 2023
Breaches involving a non-malicious human element 68% Verizon DBIR 2024
Breaches involving stolen credentials (decade view) ~31% Verizon DBIR 2024
Time to identify and contain a credential-based breach 292 days IBM 2024
Global average cost of a data breach $4.88 million IBM 2024
Lower breach cost with a mature zero trust deployment $1.76 million IBM 2024
Average saving with extensive security AI and automation $2.22 million IBM 2024
New remote access served predominantly by ZTNA (forecast) 70% Gartner 2025
Enterprises phasing out most VPNs for ZTNA (forecast) 60% Gartner 2025
ZTNA share of new remote access, end of 2021 <10% Gartner 2021
Year the term “zero trust” was coined (Forrester) 2010 Forrester 2010
NIST zero trust architecture standard SP 800-207 NIST 2020
Federal zero trust deadline (OMB strategy) End of FY2024 OMB M-22-09 2022

Frequently Asked Questions

How many organizations use zero trust in 2026?

Zero trust has moved from an idea to the default strategy. Okta’s State of Zero Trust Security research found 61% of organizations had a defined zero trust initiative in place, up from 55% a year earlier and just 24% in 2021. Microsoft’s zero trust research found 96% of security decision-makers call zero trust critical to their organization’s success and 76% are in the process of implementing it. The harder question is not who has started, but who has matured: Gartner predicts only 10% of large enterprises will have a mature and measurable zero trust program by 2026.

What percentage of companies have a mature zero trust program?

Very few, so far. Gartner predicts that by 2026, 10% of large enterprises will have a mature and measurable zero trust program in place, up from less than 1% in 2023. That gap between adoption and maturity is the central story of zero trust: most organizations have an initiative, but far fewer have a measurable program that actually enforces least-privilege access across identity, devices, networks, applications, and data. Gartner also warns that by 2026, more than half of cyberattacks will target areas that zero trust controls do not cover.

Does zero trust actually reduce the cost of a data breach?

The data points that way. IBM’s Cost of a Data Breach research found organizations with a mature zero trust deployment experienced breach costs roughly $1.76 million lower than those with no zero trust approach. IBM’s 2024 report also found organizations using security AI and automation extensively, capabilities that underpin zero trust monitoring, saved an average of $2.22 million per breach. With the global average cost of a breach at a record $4.88 million in 2024, those reductions are meaningful.

Why are companies moving from VPNs to zero trust network access?

A VPN grants broad network access once a user connects, which lets an attacker who steals one set of credentials move laterally. Zero Trust Network Access (ZTNA) instead verifies identity and context for each application, granting least-privilege access rather than a network tunnel. Gartner predicts that by 2025, at least 70% of new remote access deployments will be served predominantly by ZTNA rather than VPN, up from less than 10% at the end of 2021, and that 60% of enterprises will phase out most of their remote access VPNs in favor of ZTNA.

Is zero trust just for large enterprises?

No. Zero trust is a strategy, not a product, and its core moves, multi-factor authentication, least-privilege access, and continuous verification, apply to a business of any size. Identity is the common entry point for attackers, and small and midsize businesses are frequent targets precisely because they are assumed to have weaker controls. The practical path for a smaller organization is to start with identity: enforce strong multi-factor authentication, tighten who can access what, and add monitoring, rather than trying to buy a single zero trust platform.

Methodology and Sources

How we compiled this report

Every figure in this article comes from a named primary source: analyst-firm forecasts and research with disclosed methodology, government standards bodies, and the annual breach reports that security teams rely on. We did not use secondary blog aggregations or unattributed “up to X%” claims. Where a figure is a forecast, we say so and attribute it to the firm that issued it. Zero trust adoption and maturity figures come from Okta, Microsoft, and Gartner; the breach-impact figures come from IBM and Verizon; the framework and mandate references come from CISA, NIST, and the U.S. Office of Management and Budget. The one derived figure, the maturity-gap ratio, is clearly labeled as CNiC Solutions analysis with its source data and formula shown, and we note that its two inputs come from different survey populations.

Primary sources cited:

 

author avatar
David McFarlene Founder & CEO
David McFarlene is the owner and founder of CNiC Solutions, a trusted IT services and cybersecurity company serving the Houston, TX area. With over 20 years of experience in managed IT, infrastructure design, cloud solutions, and data security, David helps businesses and homeowners stay protected and productive through dependable, personalized technology support. He leads the CNiC Solutions team with a focus on reliability, transparency, and long-term relationships, ensuring clients always have a knowledgeable expert they can trust.
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